§ 2022-01-03 → 2025-12-31 EQUITIES

Turtle Trend · SPY

Turtle-style trend follower (55 / 20d, 2.0 ATR stop) with Donchian entries and ATR-based sizing.

Overall grade
B B
CAGR
+3.25%
Sharpe
0.53
Max DD
-11.8%
Trades
11
Benchmark   ·   Engine divergence
SPY B&H +10.84% Bar ≈ Event

Profit factor 2.15, expectancy $1,292 per trade. Trend-following behaves as expected — lags in choppy markets.

§ 4 pages Full scorecard

Every page. Click to enlarge.

Summary & grades
Bar-engine backtest
Event-driven backtest
Monte Carlo distributions